I think it would work, but in order to make it reliable, you’d have to open up the gas port to such a degree that the benefits of the midlength system would be diminished.
Dwell time is obviously a (the) key issue here, but with the AR DI system, system is the key word, it can’t be boiled down to dwell alone.
Consider what dwell time really is – yes, it’s the time that the bullet is in the barrel past the gas port – but what’s really happening is that it is the time window that the system is allowing the expanding gas to fill the gas tube, and apply a enough force for enough time to operate the action.
The distance from the gas port to muzzle is probably better represented as the “dwell length” than the “dwell time”. The actual time the bullet spends in a fixed “dwell length” will change as a function of barrel length. Think about it - if the bullet is exiting the 10.5" barrel at 2363 FPS or a 16" barrel at 2669 FPS*, that’s about a 300 FPS difference. That’s a 0.001 sec extra time to travel that same 3.5" of dwell length. That’s not much, but if you’re operating with a system that the timing is already pushed to the brink of having the enough “dwell time” to function reliably.
So, for the same dwell length, the longer OAL barrel has less dwell time. Further conspiring against us, is the fact that the longer gas system, needs more volume of gas to expand into the gas tube, and operate the system – the gas tube just has a larger volume to fill and pressurize before the action can cycle.
And then another factor working against us, is that the further down the barrel we put the gas port, the lower the port pressure. Which, normally, we think of being a good thing about the mid- or rifle-length systems. But now with our short dwell length, tiny dwell time, and larger volume to fill…we’ve got less pressure to work with.
So what do we do? Well, we either increase that “dwell length” (and therefore dwell time) or, since in this exercise we’re trying to hold that length fixed, then we enlarge the gas port, to remove a restriction and pressurize that gas system faster to make up for the decreased dwell. The problem now is that you’re slamming a bunch more gas back into the action at high velocity and pressure, undoing big part of the whole purpose of going to a longer gas system in the first place - the less violent operating system. And now, you’ve created a system thats much, much more sensitive to weak loads, temperature variations, a dirty/restricted/poorly lubed system, etc. because it is all so very carefully tuned and timed.
Summarizing - as you increase the barrel length, and move the gas port out to keep the dwell length the same, you’re actually shrinking the dwell time - so to compensate, you have to take drastic measures that really undo the advantages of the longer gas system.
At least that’s my theoretical take on why we’re not seeing a lot of 12.5" middys pop up in a world where both 12.5 and midlength seem to be “the new hotness”, but you never see them combined.
*FPS data pulled from some MK262 chrono data from MSTN found on TOS… a 300 FPS difference from 10.5 to 16 was a pretty common figure I found though.