Nate Silver gives Republicans a slight edge in regaining control of the U.S. Senate this fall by a slim margin. And the guy’s arguably the best in the biz when it comes to predicting elections.
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/fivethirtyeight-senate-forecast/
Well then he better go ahead and predict a Democratic landslide in 2016.
This always happens; the party that controls Congress during a Presidency held by the other party does absolutely terrible the next election, and for one simple reason: The other party can sit back and say “We tried getting stuff done that would help people, but Congress wasn’t having anything of it!!”
See 1948, 1994, 2010, etc
I’ll believe it when I see it. Remember, even after the “revolution” of 2010 we still got shitstain AGAIN in 2012.
The winning back of Congress will mean noting if the GOP leadership remains the same.
Remember…back when Dubya was prez and the GOP had the Congress and Executive branch…what did they do?
Nothing…just got us involved in another Vietnam styled nation building project and that was it. Majority was TOTALLY squandered!
They COULD have pushed for tax reform, abolishing of the IRS or some other huge moves but the GOP majority literally did nothing.
-brickboy240
I still see a 51-49 Dem Majority in 2015, maybe a 50-50 split (which translates into a 51-50 Dem Majority).
I honestly hope the dems take back the house and keep the senate and then hillary gets potus. It needs to get a lot worse before people will sit up and put in the effort to make it better.
Sadly, you may be right.
A slight veer… I read a poll analysis (Gallup I believe) that said something to the effect that Hillary’s main reason to be elected was for us to have the first female POTUS. So now it appears, at least as far as this poll shows to me, that we have become a nation that seeks milestones (ie first black president, first female president, first openly gay president) instead of leadership.
My MIL voted for Obama because it was a democrats turn. On here we tend to be tuned into current events and have an understanding of history. Most of the population doesn’t and has absurd ideas when it comes time to vote plus a personal stake in some manner of funding.
I don’t want a GOP majority.
The establishment republicans are only a whisker better than the dems.
You can hardly tell them apart.
I’m interested in candidates that practice Liberty and Responsibility.
Well, at least you didn’t say that the two parties were identical. I’m still a little fuzzy on why you want the party that sucks more to retain control of the Senate.
If Newtown happend in Dec 2008 we would have some type of ban right now…maybe all of it.
You abslutely want a GOP majority. My Father pulls this “I don’t like any of them” crap and doesn’t vote. Truth is my Dad doesn’t really follow politics and really doesn’t understand the stakes here. He just likes to be a contrarian.
If Obamacare doesn’t get on track in the next 18 months, there is a good chance the GOP could get Congress and the White House. He also has time to F-up several other things which he seems good at and the media is growing tired of protecting him. But in the short term we need to stop a lame duck socialist Presdent. This is the most dangerous president in US history. There is no time for BS.
When I was younger I was a conservative idealist. I voted for Perot the first time. Big mistake.
The reality is you need to just go in the both a pull the lever for the worst of two evils. I hit the all GOP button even though I’m really 95% Libertarian. A conservative third party candidate will hand the socialist the keys to the car and accelerate out doom.
I been saying this since 2010.
Edit: It’d be different if we had 537 Ron Paul’s.
I have little hope in either the demos or republicans as both [parties] have run this country for what 150 years and they have fooled the voters well. Let God separate them. The government as we know it and its employees are the biggest threat to our freedoms than any foreign threat.
I’d be more excited about a GOP Senate take over if the GOP leadership was more like Rand Paul, Ted Cruz and Mike Lee and LESS like John McCain, Mitch McConnell and John Cornyn.
-brickboy240
This concept always frustrates the hell out of me… You would like for these people to run the country into the ground to prove a point. Yes, I know that a lot of the Republicans are bad as well, but saying, “screw it crash the car,” because you need new tires is a terrible philosophy. This is no better.
There’s leadership in the GOP? … damn… I missed that part…
One of the alphabet soup media talking heads also mentioned several months back that the GOP could take the Senate. Since that time I have noticed some stupid comments, I think a retirement or two, and you can basically bet at least one or two more will come out of the woodwork and simply made a few basic comments. anything off a short list.
A) Young women should not be allowed to have abortions.
B) Everyone should be armed with an assault weapon.
C) Any manner of remark that contains a “racial” word.
D) Any mention of the word “gay” but especially if it can be construed as negative.
That pretty much does it. The GOP will have to exert very little effort to continue to lose elections and to be honest, I think they actually like it that way. I know Boehner does. You can tell he loves his place. Harmless… a do nothing messenger boy. He’s got the perfect political job. Big exposure and the ability to blame both sides… No way he wants to lose that. I don’t think most of them really care, they are simply putting in time…
At this point, I think the county would be better served by massive exposure towards the likes of Harry Reid, Pelosi, Feinstein, just get rid of them… and Boehner too, get rid of him. Rather than a this team or that team, just some effort to get rid most powerful screw ups of all of them. In my opinion not a single one of them is worth a days pay for the average person working at a fast food joint. … and Biden/Kerry … what an international laugh they are.
What was that with Ted C and his Churchill performance the other day? I’m beginning to think there is some sort of drug in Washington that makes everyone that goes there lose touch with reality. I’m not sure if he was auditioning for a Broadway play or what? But that’s the sort of thing the MSM eats up and SNL will turn into skit.
SNL will turn ANYTHING anyone with an “R” after their name does into a skit. We cannot worry about that or how Jon Stewart will dice em up.
We win nothing by letting the media pick our candidate. Remember how McCain was their darling back when he was opposing Bush. However when he ran against the black guy…the shine came off the apple.
This is a huge problem for the GOP (…besides the fact that their leaders really do not want to win or reform anything) is that the left controls the messaging. When you control the messaging, you control the elections.
The left does not win because their ideas are better or their candidates are more appealing…but because they control the messaging. They won the last election with double digit unemployment, Benghazi, Fast & Furious and doubling the price of gas in 4 years. These things SHOULD get ANY leader tossed out on their ass but not so when you control the messaging and get get everyone riled up about Mitt putting the dog on the roof of a station wagon or being Mormon.
Why do libertarians owe the GOP their vote?
Agreed, especially when the GOP establishment does everything in their power to limit the influence of politicians like Rand Paul, one of the few Republicans I can stomach.
The Democrats want to spend too much of my money and legislate their social/moral beliefs on me. The Republicans want to spend too much of my money and legislate their religious/moral beliefs on me. The GOP is not the lesser of two evils, it is the same evil with a different face to me. I honestly can’t really discern much difference between the parties anymore.
This country needs an alternative third party movement that does not view compromise as a four letter word and practices fiscal responsibility. Sure it won’t happen overnight, and may take a decade or two, but voting for the GOP because they’re the “lesser of two evils” just slows it from happening even more. Lesser evil, by definition, is still evil, and I am sick of voting for it. Whoever Karl Rove’s approved candidate is will not have my support.